Saturday’s contest that pits the South Alabama Jaguars (13-5, 5-1 Sun Belt) against the Troy Trojans (11-6, 4-2 Sun Belt) at Mitchell Center has a projected final score of 70-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of South Alabama, who is a slight favorite in this matchup according to our model. Tipoff is at 4:00 PM ET on January 18.

According to our computer prediction, Troy should cover the spread, which is listed at 3.5. The two sides are projected to go over the 130.5 over/under.

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South Alabama vs. Troy Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Mobile, Alabama
• Venue: Mitchell Center
• Line: South Alabama -3.5
• Point total: 130.5
• Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -170, Troy +140

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South Alabama vs. Troy Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 70, Troy 67

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Troy

• Pick ATS: Troy (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (130.5)

South Alabama is 11-5-0 against the spread this season compared to Troy’s 9-6-0 ATS record. A total of six out of the Jaguars’ games this season have gone over the point total, and seven of the Trojans’ games have gone over. The teams combine to score 148.6 points per game, 18.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 contests, South Alabama has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall. Troy has gone 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 matches.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars average 74.5 points per game (200th in college basketball) while giving up 61.6 per contest (eighth in college basketball). They have a +233 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 12.9 points per game.
• South Alabama is 276th in the nation at 30.9 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 31.9 its opponents average.
• South Alabama hits 9.8 three-pointers per game (39th in college basketball), 1.3 fewer than its opponents (11.1).
• The Jaguars average 101.6 points per 100 possessions (67th in college basketball), while allowing 84.0 points per 100 possessions (27th in college basketball).
• South Alabama has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 8.1 per game (first in college basketball action) while forcing 13.2 (74th in college basketball).

Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans outscore opponents by 7.6 points per game (posting 74.1 points per game, 208th in college basketball, and conceding 66.5 per contest, 57th in college basketball) and have a +129 scoring differential.
• Troy is 90th in the country at 34.5 rebounds per game. That’s 6.4 more than the 28.1 its opponents average.
• Troy makes 7.2 three-pointers per game (233rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8. It shoots 29.8% from deep, and its opponents shoot 33.0%.
• Troy has come up short in the turnover battle by 1.1 per game, committing 14.4 (345th in college basketball) while forcing 13.3 (69th in college basketball).

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