Saturday’s contest that pits the Troy Trojans (10-5, 3-1 Sun Belt) against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-5, 2-2 Sun Belt) at Trojan Arena is expected to be a competitive matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 72-71 in favor of Troy. Tipoff is at 4:33 PM ET on January 11.

According to our computer prediction, Troy should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 1.5. The two teams are projected to come in below the 143.5 over/under.

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Troy vs. Arkansas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Time: 4:33 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -1.5
• Point total: 143.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -128, Arkansas State +104

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Troy vs. Arkansas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 72, Arkansas State 71

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Arkansas State

• Pick ATS: Troy (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (143.5)

Troy has an 8-5-0 record against the spread this season compared to Arkansas State, who is 6-9-0 ATS. The Trojans are 6-7-0 and the Red Wolves are 7-8-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams score an average of 151.9 points per game, 8.4 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its past 10 games, while Arkansas State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans’ +116 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.7 points per game (229th in college basketball) while giving up 65.9 per outing (51st in college basketball).
• The 34.2 rebounds per game Troy averages rank 101st in the nation, and are 6.1 more than the 28.1 its opponents collect per outing.
• Troy connects on 6.7 three-pointers per game (281st in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.6 on average.
• The Trojans record 93.1 points per 100 possessions (245th in college basketball), while giving up 83.4 points per 100 possessions (30th in college basketball).
• Troy has committed 14.7 turnovers per game (349th in college basketball action) while forcing 13.9 (49th in college basketball).

Arkansas State Performance Insights

• The Red Wolves outscore opponents by 7.4 points per game (posting 78.2 points per game, 109th in college basketball, and giving up 70.8 per contest, 169th in college basketball) and have a +119 scoring differential.
• The 37.4 rebounds per game Arkansas State accumulates rank 17th in the nation. Their opponents record 36.4.
• Arkansas State connects on 9.4 three-pointers per game (55th in college basketball) at a 31.5% rate (292nd in college basketball), compared to the 6.8 per game its opponents make, at a 31.1% rate.
• Arkansas State has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 10.6 per game (87th in college basketball) while forcing 12.6 (131st in college basketball).

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