Saturday’s contest that pits the Alabama State Hornets (4-9, 0-0 SWAC) against the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (2-11, 0-0 SWAC) at Dunn-Oliver Acadome is expected to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 79-67 in favor of Alabama State, who is heavy favorites by our model. Tipoff is at 4:00 PM ET on January 4.

According to our computer prediction, Mississippi Valley State is projected to cover the point spread (22.5) versus Alabama State. The two sides are projected to eclipse the 140.5 total.

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Alabama State -22.5
• Point total: 140.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -10000, Mississippi Valley State +2500

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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 79, Mississippi Valley State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi Valley State (+22.5)
• Pick OU: Over (140.5)

Alabama State has a 5-6-0 record against the spread this season compared to Mississippi Valley State, who is 3-8-0 ATS. Both the Hornets and the Delta Devils are 6-5-0 in terms of hitting the over in their games this season. The teams average 127.5 points per game combined, 13.0 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. In the past 10 games, Alabama State has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 3-7 overall. Mississippi Valley State has gone 2-8 against the spread and 0-10 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets are being outscored by 5.1 points per game with a -66 scoring differential overall. They put up 76.3 points per game (161st in college basketball) and give up 81.4 per outing (348th in college basketball).
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by an average of 7.6 boards. It is collecting 30.7 rebounds per game (296th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 38.3 per outing.
• Alabama State knocks down 9.8 three-pointers per game (42nd in college basketball) while shooting 33.8% from beyond the arc (188th in college basketball). It is making 1.3 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 8.5 per game while shooting 34.9%.
• The Hornets rank 238th in college basketball with 93.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 345th in college basketball defensively with 100.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Alabama State has committed 9.2 turnovers per game (16th in college basketball action), 2.2 fewer than the 11.4 it forces on average (224th in college basketball).

Mississippi Valley State Performance Insights

• The Delta Devils are being outscored by 34.5 points per game, with a -449 scoring differential overall. They put up 51.2 points per game (364th in college basketball), and give up 85.7 per contest (360th in college basketball).
• The 23.8 rebounds per game Mississippi Valley State accumulates rank 363rd in college basketball, 10.0 fewer than the 33.8 its opponents pull down.
• Mississippi Valley State makes 3.8 three-pointers per game (364th in college basketball) while shooting 27.1% from beyond the arc (359th in college basketball). It is making 6.0 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 9.8 per game at 36.5%.
• Mississippi Valley State has committed 15.8 turnovers per game (359th in college basketball), 6.0 more than the 9.8 it forces (332nd in college basketball).

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