Friday’s game at Trojan Arena has the Troy Trojans (4-2) squaring off against the Merrimack Warriors (1-6) at 2:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 75-61 win, as our model heavily favors Troy.

According to our computer prediction, Troy projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup versus Merrimack. The over/under has been set at 136.5, and the two sides are projected to fall short of that total.

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Troy vs. Merrimack Game Info & Odds

• Date: Friday, November 29, 2024
• Time: 2:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -11.5
• Point total: 136.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -599, Merrimack +420

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Troy vs. Merrimack Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 75, Merrimack 61

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Merrimack

• Pick ATS: Troy (-11.5)
• Pick OU: Under (136.5)

Troy is 4-2-0 against the spread this season compared to Merrimack’s 2-5-0 ATS record. The Trojans have a 3-3-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Warriors have a record of 3-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score 132.8 points per game combined, 3.7 less than this matchup’s over/under.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans are outscoring opponents by 3.9 points per game with a +23 scoring differential overall. They put up 73.7 points per game (230th in college basketball) and allow 69.8 per contest (155th in college basketball).
• The 32.5 rebounds per game Troy averages rank 221st in college basketball, and are 3.8 more than the 28.7 its opponents pull down per contest.
• Troy connects on 6.8 three-pointers per game (274th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8. It shoots 30.4% from deep while its opponents hit 33.3% from long range.
• The Trojans rank 279th in college basketball by averaging 90.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 106th in college basketball, allowing 85.5 points per 100 possessions.
• Troy has committed 1.3 more turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 16.3 (357th in college basketball action) while forcing 15.0 (47th in college basketball).

Merrimack Performance Insights

• The Warriors put up 59.1 points per game (356th in college basketball) while allowing 70.1 per outing (159th in college basketball). They have a -77 scoring differential and have been outscored by 11.0 points per game.
• The 27.7 rebounds per game Merrimack accumulates rank 344th in college basketball, 12.6 fewer than the 40.3 its opponents pull down.
• Merrimack connects on 3.1 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 4.9 (352nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.0.
• Merrimack wins the turnover battle by 3.4 per game, committing 10.7 (110th in college basketball) while its opponents average 14.1.

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