LSU vs. Alabama State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 10

Published 3:48 pm Saturday, November 9, 2024

Sunday’s contest at Pete Maravich Assembly Center has the LSU Tigers (1-0) squaring off against the Alabama State Hornets (0-1) at 5:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 90-73 win, as our model heavily favors LSU.

Based on our computer prediction, Alabama State is projected to cover the spread (21.5) against LSU. The two teams are expected to exceed the 151.5 over/under.

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LSU vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • TV: SEC Network+
  • Where: Baton Rouge, Louisiana
  • Venue: Pete Maravich Assembly Center
  • Line: LSU -21.5
  • Point total: 151.5
  • Moneyline (to win): LSU -4545, Alabama State +1600

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LSU vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    LSU 90, Alabama State 73

Spread & Total Prediction for LSU vs. Alabama State

  • Pick ATS: Alabama State (+21.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (151.5)

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LSU Performance Insights

  • With 76.4 points scored per game and 75 points allowed last year, LSU was 95th in the country on offense and 272nd on defense.
  • Last season, the Tigers were 125th in the country in rebounds (33 per game) and 170th in rebounds allowed (31.3).
  • LSU was 287th in the nation in assists (11.8 per game) last season.
  • At 7.8 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc last season, the Tigers were 137th and 85th in the nation, respectively, in those categories.
  • Last season, LSU was 295th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (8.3 per game) and 168th in defensive 3-point percentage (33.5%).
  • The Tigers attempted 37.6% percent of their shots from behind the 3-point line last season, and 29.5% of their made shots are from there. Inside the arc, they took 62.4% of their shots, with 70.5% of their makes coming from there.

Alabama State Performance Insights

  • Offensively, Alabama State put up 68.6 points per game (308th-ranked in college basketball) last season. It surrendered 69.4 points per contest on defense (98th-ranked).
  • The Hornets grabbed 34.9 boards per game (52nd-ranked in college basketball). They gave up 34.8 rebounds per contest (326th-ranked).
  • Alabama State didn’t produce many assists last season, ranking 24th-worst in college basketball with 10.8 assists per game.
  • The Hornets averaged 10.8 turnovers per game (133rd-ranked in college basketball). They forced 13.3 turnovers per contest (41st-ranked).
  • The Hornets, who were 225th in college basketball with 7 treys per game, shot just 28.1% from beyond the arc, which was worst in the country.
  • With 7.5 three-pointers conceded per game, Alabama State was 204th in college basketball. It ceded a 33.7% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranked 184th in college basketball.
  • Alabama State attempted 40.4 two-pointers per game last season, which accounted for 62% of the shots it attempted (and 71.1% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, it attempted 24.8 threes per contest, which were 38% of its shots (and 28.9% of the team’s buckets).

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