Troy vs. Toledo Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 4

Published 7:49 pm Sunday, November 3, 2024

Monday’s contest between the Troy Trojans (0-0) and Toledo Rockets (0-0) at Trojan Arena should be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 78-75, with Troy taking home the win. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on November 4.

Based on our computer prediction, Toledo should cover the spread, which currently sits at 6.5. The two sides are projected to come in below the 153.5 total.

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Troy vs. Toledo Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, November 4, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Troy, Alabama
  • Venue: Trojan Arena
  • Line: Troy -6.5
  • Point total: 153.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Troy -260, Toledo +205

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Troy vs. Toledo Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Troy 78, Toledo 75

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Toledo

  • Pick ATS: Toledo (+6.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (153.5)

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Troy Performance Insights

  • On offense, Troy was the 43rd-ranked team in the country (79.6 points per game) last season. On defense, it was 130th (70.7 points conceded per game).
  • With 34.6 rebounds per game and 30.2 rebounds allowed, the Trojans were 61st and 101st in the nation, respectively, last season.
  • At 13.7 assists per game last season, Troy was 132nd in the nation.
  • Beyond the arc, the Trojans were 62nd in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (8.6) last year. They were 118th in 3-point percentage at 35.1%.
  • Giving up 6.7 3-pointers per game and conceding 35% from beyond the arc last season, Troy was 94th and 274th in the nation, respectively, in those categories.
  • Last year, the Trojans took 59.7% of their shots from inside the 3-point line, and 40.3% from beyond it. In terms of made shots, 67.9% of the Trojans’ baskets were 2-pointers, and 32.1% were 3-pointers.

Toledo Performance Insights

  • Toledo averaged 80 points per game (38th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while surrendering 76.1 points per contest (296th-ranked).
  • The Rockets pulled down 30.4 boards per game (283rd-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 30.3 rebounds per contest (109th-ranked).
  • Toledo delivered 13 assists per game, which ranked them 181st in college basketball.
  • The Rockets averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (76th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while forcing 12.6 turnovers per contest (73rd-ranked).
  • With a 37.7% three-point percentage last season, the Rockets were 14th-best in college basketball. They ranked 265th in college basketball by making 6.5 threes per contest.
  • Last year Toledo allowed 7.6 threes per game (223rd-ranked in college basketball) and allowed opponents to shoot 34.2% (229th-ranked) from downtown.
  • Toledo attempted 42.9 two-pointers per game last year, which accounted for 71.4% of the shots it attempted (and 77.5% of the team’s baskets). Meanwhile, it attempted 17.2 treys per contest, which were 28.6% of its shots (and 22.5% of the team’s buckets).

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