A victory by the Atlanta Falcons over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming game, on Thursday, Oct. 3 at 8:15 p.m. ET (at Mercedes-Benz Stadium). For more information, including the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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The Falcons are averaging 18.8 points per game offensively this season (22nd in NFL), and they are allowing 21.3 points per game (14th) on the defensive side of the ball. In terms of points scored the Buccaneers rank 11th in the NFL (24.3 points per game), and they are ninth on the other side of the ball (19.5 points allowed per game).

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have a 55.6% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Atlanta has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
• The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
• So far this season, just one Atlanta game has hit the over.
• The over/under in this matchup is 44 points, 0.3 fewer than the average total in this season’s Falcons contests (playoffs included).

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Buccaneers Betting Info

• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 48.8% chance of a victory for the Buccaneers.
• Tampa Bay has won three games against the spread this year, failing to cover once.
• The Buccaneers have won their only game this year when playing as at least 1.5-point underdogs.
• Tampa Bay games have gone over the point total twice this season.
• The average total points scored in Buccaneers games (postseason included) this year (44) is 0.1 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

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