Our computer model predicts a victory for the Atlanta Falcons when they face the Kansas City Chiefs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 22 at 8:20 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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From an offensive standpoint, the Chiefs rank sixth in the NFL with 26.5 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 20th in points allowed (386 points allowed per contest). In terms of points scored the Falcons rank 24th in the NFL (16 points per game), and they are 11th on defense (19.5 points allowed per contest).

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Falcons vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have a 41.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Atlanta has a record of 1-1-0 against the spread this season.
• The Falcons have covered the spread when playing as at least 3-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
• Atlanta and its opponent have not yet hit the over in 2024.
• The over/under for this game is two points higher than the average scoring total for Falcons games (44.5).

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Chiefs Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Chiefs a 62.3% chance to win.
• Kansas City has covered once in two chances against the spread this season.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread once when favored by 3 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• So far this season, two Kansas City games have hit the over.
• The total for this game is 46.5, 0.5 points fewer than the average total in Chiefs games thus far this season.

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Falcons vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

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