Troy vs. Southern Miss Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 27

Published 4:48 pm Sunday, January 26, 2025

Monday’s contest that pits the Troy Trojans (12-7, 5-3 Sun Belt) versus the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (9-11, 4-4 Sun Belt) at Trojan Arena should be a lopsided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 78-65 in favor of Troy, who is heavily favored by our model. Game time is at 6:00 PM ET on January 27.

According to our computer prediction, the Troy versus Southern Miss matchup has a predicted point spread that matches the actual spread (12.5). The two teams are projected to eclipse the 141.5 total.

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Troy vs. Southern Miss Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, January 27, 2025
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Troy, Alabama
  • Venue: Trojan Arena
  • Line: Troy -12.5
  • Point total: 141.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Troy -877, Southern Miss +580

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Troy vs. Southern Miss Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Troy 78, Southern Miss 65

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Southern Miss

  • Pick ATS: Pick Em
  • Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Troy has put together an 11-6-0 record against the spread this season, while Southern Miss is 10-8-0. The Trojans have hit the over in seven games, while Golden Eagles games have gone over seven times. The teams score an average of 146.5 points per game, 5.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy is 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall over its last 10 games, while Southern Miss has gone 6-4 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

  • The Trojans’ +138 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.1 points per game (223rd in college basketball) while giving up 65.8 per contest (42nd in college basketball).
  • Troy wins the rebound battle by 6.4 boards on average. It collects 34.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 65th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 28.4 per contest.
  • Troy connects on 7.5 three-pointers per game (206th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.0. It shoots 29.8% from deep while its opponents hit 33.2% from long range.
  • The Trojans rank 244th in college basketball with 93.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 21st in college basketball defensively with 83.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • Troy forces 13.4 turnovers per game (57th in college basketball) while committing 14.2 (342nd in college basketball action).

Southern Miss Performance Insights

  • The Golden Eagles have been outscored by 2.7 points per game (posting 73.4 points per game, 213th in college basketball, while giving up 76.1 per contest, 299th in college basketball) and have a -53 scoring differential.
  • Southern Miss prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 1.9 boards. It grabs 34.4 rebounds per game (82nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 32.5.
  • Southern Miss makes 7.1 three-pointers per game (245th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.4. It shoots 31.5% from deep, and its opponents shoot 31.5%.
  • Southern Miss has committed 13.8 turnovers per game (337th in college basketball), 2.8 more than the 11.0 it forces (245th in college basketball).

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