Saturday’s contest between the Troy Trojans (11-7, 4-3 Sun Belt) and South Alabama Jaguars (14-5, 6-1 Sun Belt) matching up at Trojan Arena has a projected final score of 69-67 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Troy, so expect a tight matchup. The game will start at 6:00 PM ET on January 25.

According to our computer prediction, South Alabama is projected to cover the point spread (3.5) versus Troy. The two teams are expected to go over the 130.5 over/under.

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Troy vs. South Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -3.5
• Point total: 130.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -168, South Alabama +136

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Troy vs. South Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 69, South Alabama 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. South Alabama

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (130.5)

Troy’s record against the spread this season is 10-6-0, and South Alabama’s is 11-6-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Trojans are 7-9-0 and the Jaguars are 6-11-0. The two teams average 147.4 points per game, 16.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in the past 10 contests. South Alabama has gone 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans have a +128 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.1 points per game. They’re putting up 73.5 points per game to rank 217th in college basketball and are allowing 66.4 per contest to rank 50th in college basketball.
• Troy ranks 76th in the nation at 34.7 rebounds per game. That’s 6.6 more than the 28.1 its opponents average.
• Troy connects on 7.3 three-pointers per game (230th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.1 on average.
• The Trojans rank 232nd in college basketball by averaging 93.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 29th in college basketball, allowing 84.4 points per 100 possessions.
• Troy forces 13.3 turnovers per game (64th in college basketball) while committing 14.3 (345th in college basketball action).

South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars put up 73.9 points per game (209th in college basketball) while giving up 61.6 per outing (ninth in college basketball). They have a +234 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 12.3 points per game.
• The 30.8 rebounds per game South Alabama accumulates rank 278th in the nation, 1.5 fewer than the 32.3 its opponents collect.
• South Alabama knocks down 9.9 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball) at a 34.6% rate (137th in college basketball), compared to the 11.0 per contest its opponents make, shooting 32.8% from beyond the arc.
• South Alabama has committed 8.4 turnovers per game (first in college basketball), 4.8 fewer than the 13.2 it forces (72nd in college basketball).

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