Saturday’s contest between the Jackson State Tigers (1-13, 1-0 SWAC) and the Alabama State Hornets (6-9, 2-0 SWAC) at Lee E. Williams Athletic and Assembly Center has a projected final score of 78-73 based on our computer prediction, with Jackson State taking home the win. Tipoff is at 4:30 PM ET on January 11.

Based on our computer prediction, Jackson State projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup against Alabama State. The over/under has been set at 145.5, and the two teams are projected to exceed it.

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Jackson State vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Time: 4:30 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Jackson, Mississippi
• Venue: Lee E. Williams Athletic and Assembly Center
• Line: Jackson State -3.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Jackson State -184, Alabama State +148

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Jackson State vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Jackson State 78, Alabama State 73

Spread & Total Prediction for Jackson State vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Jackson State (-3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Jackson State has compiled a 7-7-0 record against the spread this season, while Alabama State is 6-7-0. The Tigers have gone over the point total in five games, while Hornets games have gone over seven times. The teams average 139.8 points per game combined, 5.7 fewer than this matchup’s total. Jackson State is 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 contests, while Alabama State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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Jackson State Performance Insights

• The Tigers are being outscored by 20.4 points per game with a -285 scoring differential overall. They put up 61.9 points per game (359th in college basketball) and allow 82.3 per outing (356th in college basketball).
• Jackson State averages 30.9 rebounds per game (285th in college basketball) while allowing 38 per contest to its opponents. It is outrebounded by 7.1 boards per game.
• Jackson State knocks down 6.3 three-pointers per game (312th in college basketball) while shooting 29.1% from deep (342nd in college basketball). It is making 4.3 fewer threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 10.6 per game while shooting 38.4%.
• The Tigers rank 361st in college basketball with 76.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 351st in college basketball defensively with 101.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Jackson State has committed 1.7 more turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 14.5 (345th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.8 (119th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets put up 77.9 points per game (112th in college basketball) while allowing 80.3 per contest (343rd in college basketball). They have a -35 scoring differential and have been outscored by 2.4 points per game.
• Alabama State ranks 302nd in college basketball at 30.3 rebounds per game. That’s 6.6 fewer than the 36.9 its opponents average.
• Alabama State hits 9.8 three-pointers per game (40th in college basketball), 1.3 more than its opponents. It shoots 34.8% from beyond the arc (131st in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 35%.
• Alabama State has committed 9.1 turnovers per game (ninth in college basketball), 2.6 fewer than the 11.7 it forces (206th in college basketball).

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