Thursday’s game between the Troy Trojans (10-4, 3-0 Sun Belt) and the Texas State Bobcats (8-7, 1-2 Sun Belt) at Trojan Arena has a projected final score of 73-67 based on our computer prediction, with a favored Troy squad taking home the win. Game time is at 7:00 PM ET on January 9.

Based on our computer prediction, Troy projects to cover the 6.5-point spread in its matchup versus Texas State. The total has been set at 134.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.

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Troy vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -6.5
• Point total: 134.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -275, Texas State +220

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Troy vs. Texas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 73, Texas State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. Texas State

• Pick ATS: Troy (-6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (134.5)

Troy has an 8-4-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Texas State, who is 7-6-0 ATS. The Trojans have gone over the point total in five games, while Bobcats games have gone over seven times. The teams combine to score 149.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 contests, Troy is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall while Texas State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans outscore opponents by 8.3 points per game (scoring 73.7 points per game to rank 231st in college basketball while allowing 65.4 per outing to rank 48th in college basketball) and have a +117 scoring differential overall.
• The 34.6 rebounds per game Troy averages rank 89th in the country, and are 6.7 more than the 27.9 its opponents collect per contest.
• Troy connects on 6.9 three-pointers per game (263rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.6. It shoots 28.6% from deep while its opponents hit 32.3% from long range.
• The Trojans average 93.0 points per 100 possessions on offense (249th in college basketball), and allow 82.5 points per 100 possessions (25th in college basketball).
• Troy forces 14.0 turnovers per game (49th in college basketball) while committing 14.7 (346th in college basketball play).

Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats’ +99 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.6 points per game) is a result of putting up 75.5 points per game (178th in college basketball) while allowing 68.9 per contest (117th in college basketball).
• Texas State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 5.1 boards. It records 33.1 rebounds per game (172nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 28.0.
• Texas State hits 5.5 three-pointers per game (351st in college basketball) while shooting 36.9% from deep (59th in college basketball). It is making 1.8 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 7.3 per game at 36.3%.
• Texas State forces 11.4 turnovers per game (225th in college basketball) while committing 11.3 (160th in college basketball).

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