Monday’s contest at Dunn-Oliver Acadome has the Alabama State Hornets (5-9, 1-0 SWAC) matching up with the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (3-11, 0-1 SWAC) at 7:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 87-74 win, as our model heavily favors Alabama State.

Based on our computer prediction, UAPB is projected to cover the spread (15.5) versus Alabama State. The two sides are expected to come in below the 163.5 total.

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, January 6, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: SWAC Digital Network
• Where: Montgomery, Alabama
• Venue: Dunn-Oliver Acadome
• Line: Alabama State -15.5
• Point total: 163.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama State -1695, UAPB +890

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Alabama State vs. UAPB Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama State 87, UAPB 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama State vs. UAPB

• Pick ATS: UAPB (+15.5)
• Pick OU: Under (163.5)

Alabama State has a 6-6-0 record against the spread this season compared to UAPB, who is 5-7-0 ATS. The Hornets are 6-6-0 and the Golden Lions are 9-3-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams average 151.9 points per game combined, 11.6 fewer than this matchup’s total. Alabama State has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 3-7 overall over the past 10 games. UAPB has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets have been outscored by 2.6 points per game (scoring 76.9 points per game to rank 143rd in college basketball while giving up 79.5 per contest to rank 340th in college basketball) and have a -37 scoring differential overall.
• Alabama State loses the rebound battle by 6.8 boards on average. It records 30.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 295th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 37.4 per outing.
• Alabama State connects on 9.6 three-pointers per game (47th in college basketball) at a 34.3% rate (152nd in college basketball), compared to the 8.1 per game its opponents make at a 33.8% rate.
• The Hornets’ 94.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 212th in college basketball, and the 98.1 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 324th in college basketball.
• Alabama State wins the turnover battle by 2.5 per game, committing 9.1 (10th in college basketball) while its opponents average 11.6.

UAPB Performance Insights

• The Golden Lions’ -247 scoring differential (being outscored by 17.6 points per game) is a result of putting up 75.0 points per game (196th in college basketball) while giving up 92.6 per outing (364th in college basketball).
• UAPB grabs 29.6 rebounds per game (321st in college basketball) while allowing 36.0 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 6.4 boards per game.
• UAPB knocks down 7.9 three-pointers per game (177th in college basketball), 2.7 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 32.8% from deep (229th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 35.2%.
• UAPB has lost the turnover battle on average this season, committing 15.9 per game (359th in college basketball) while forcing 11.5 (217th in college basketball).

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