According to our computer model, the Washington Commanders will beat the Atlanta Falcons when they meet at Commanders Field on Sunday, Dec. 29 (at 8:20 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

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The Commanders have the 19th-ranked defense this season (23.2 points allowed per game), and they’ve been more effective on the other side of the ball, ranking fourth-best with 28.8 points per game. In terms of points scored the Falcons rank 16th in the NFL (21.8 points per game), and they are 20th on the other side of the ball (23.3 points allowed per game).

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Falcons vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 39.2% chance of a victory for the Falcons.
• Atlanta has put together a 6-8-1 record against the spread this year.
• The Falcons have covered the spread once this year (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
• Atlanta games have gone over the point total five out of 15 times this year.
• Falcons games average 46 total points (playoffs included), 0.5 fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Commanders Betting Info

• The Commanders have a 65.5% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Washington is 9-6-0 ATS this season.
• The Commanders have been favored by 3.5 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in three of those matchups.
• Washington and its opponent have combined to go over the point total 10 out of 15 times this season.
• The over/under in this game is 46.5 points, 0.4 higher than the average total in Commanders games this season.

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Falcons vs. Commanders 2024 Scoring Insights

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