The Atlanta Hawks (16-15) host the Miami Heat (15-13) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at State Farm Arena, beginning at 3:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 28, 2024. The Hawks are 2.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• How to watch on TV: NBA TV, FDSSE, and FDSSUN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: State Farm Arena

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Hawks vs. Heat Score Prediction

• Prediction: –
  Heat 115 – Hawks 114

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Spread & Total Prediction for Hawks vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2.5)
• Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.7)
• Pick OU:

  Over (226.5)
  

• Computer Predicted Total: 228.3

• The Heat’s .500 ATS win percentage (14-14-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Hawks’ .419 mark (13-18-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
• When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, Atlanta (3-10) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (23.1%) than Miami (4-4) does as the underdog (50%).
• Atlanta’s games have gone over the total 64.5% of the time this season (20 out of 31), which is more often than Miami’s games have (15 out of 28).
• As a moneyline favorite this year, the Hawks are 7-7, a better record than the Heat have posted (4-7) as moneyline underdogs.

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Hawks Performance Insights

• The Hawks’ defense ranks fourth-worst in the NBA with 119.5 points allowed per contest, but their offense has been more consistent, putting up 117.2 points per game (seventh-ranked in league).
• Atlanta is allowing 44.0 boards per game this year (16th-ranked in NBA), but it has shined by averaging 46.0 rebounds per game (fourth-best).
• The Hawks have been one of the best teams in the league when it comes to assists, as they are delivering 29.7 per game (third-best in NBA).
• Atlanta has struggled in terms of turnovers this year, ranking fourth-worst in the NBA with 15.8 turnovers per game. Conversely, it ranks fifth-best in the league with 15.9 forced turnovers per game.
• So far this year, the Hawks are draining 12.6 threes per game (20th-ranked in NBA) and are shooting 35.1% (18th-ranked) from three-point land.

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Heat Performance Insights

• The Heat score 111.3 points per game and give up 108.6, ranking them 19th in the league offensively and sixth on defense.
• Miami is 19th in the league in rebounds per game (43.3) and 24th in rebounds conceded (45.2).
• The Heat are 14th in the NBA in assists (25.6 per game) in 2024-25.
• In 2024-25, Miami is fourth-best in the NBA in turnovers committed (12.5 per game) and ranked 10th in turnovers forced (14.4).
• Beyond the arc, the Heat are ninth in the league in 3-pointers made per game (14.6). They are fifth-best in 3-point percentage at 37.8%.

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