Tuesday’s contest that pits the SMU Mustangs (6-2) against the Alabama State Hornets (3-4) at Moody Coliseum has a good chance to be a one-sided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 86-70 in favor of SMU, who is big favorites by our model. Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET on December 3.

Based on our computer prediction, Alabama State should cover the point spread, which currently sits at 19.5. The two sides are projected to fall short of the 156.5 over/under.

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SMU vs. Alabama State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, December 3, 2024
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ACC Network Extra
• Where: Dallas, Texas
• Venue: Moody Coliseum
• Line: SMU -19.5
• Point total: 156.5
• Moneyline (to win): SMU -5000, Alabama State +1500

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SMU vs. Alabama State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  SMU 86, Alabama State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for SMU vs. Alabama State

• Pick ATS: Alabama State (+19.5)
• Pick OU: Under (156.5)

SMU has a 3-5-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Alabama State, who is 3-2-0 ATS. A total of six out of the Mustangs’ games this season have gone over the point total, and three of the Hornets’ games have gone over. The teams combine to score 165.9 points per game, 9.4 more points than this matchup’s total.

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SMU Performance Insights

• The Mustangs outscore opponents by 15.0 points per game (scoring 86.8 points per game to rank 19th in college basketball while allowing 71.8 per outing to rank 198th in college basketball) and have a +120 scoring differential overall.
• SMU wins the rebound battle by an average of 9.5 boards. It is recording 37.4 rebounds per game (42nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 27.9 per contest.
• SMU connects on 8.1 three-pointers per game (158th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.3. It shoots 38.0% from deep while its opponents hit 34.0% from long range.
• The Mustangs rank 42nd in college basketball with 104.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 116th in college basketball defensively with 86.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• SMU has come out ahead in the turnover battle by 1.5 turnovers per game, committing 11.4 (167th in college basketball play) while forcing 12.9 (137th in college basketball).

Alabama State Performance Insights

• The Hornets put up 79.1 points per game (120th in college basketball) while giving up 78.1 per contest (319th in college basketball). They have a +7 scoring differential.
• Alabama State falls short in the rebound battle by an average of 5.3 boards. It grabs 31.4 rebounds per game (261st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 36.7.
• Alabama State hits 9.4 three-pointers per game (70th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.4 on average.
• Alabama State has committed 1.9 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 9.7 (45th in college basketball) while forcing 11.6 (224th in college basketball).

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