Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 11
Published 3:37 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024
A win by the Denver Broncos over the Atlanta Falcons is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Nov. 17 at 4:05 p.m. ET (at Empower Field at Mile High). For a full breakdown, including the spread, over/under and final score, see below.
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The Broncos rank 24th in total offense this season (303.7 yards per game), but they’ve been shining on the defensive side of the ball, ranking fifth-best in the NFL with 303.7 yards allowed per game. The Falcons are generating 23.8 points per contest on offense this season (13th-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 23.6 points per game (20th-ranked) on defense.
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Falcons vs. Broncos Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Broncos (-2) | Under (44.5) | Broncos 24, Falcons 19 |
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Falcons Betting Info
- The implied probability of a win by the Falcons based on the moneyline is 47.6%.
- Atlanta has compiled a 5-5-0 ATS record so far this season.
- The Falcons have covered the spread once when an underdog by 2 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
- In 2024, four Atlanta games have hit the over.
- The average total for Falcons games is 46.5 points, two more than this game’s over/under.
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Broncos Betting Info
- The Broncos have an implied moneyline win probability of 56.5% in this game.
- Denver is 7-3-0 ATS this season.
- The Broncos are 3-0 ATS this season when playing as at least 2-point favorites.
- Denver games have gone over the point total six out of 10 times this season.
- The over/under in this game is 44.5 points, 4.7 higher than the average total in Broncos games this season.
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Falcons vs. Broncos 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 19.7 | 17.7 | 21 | 17 | 18.8 | 18.2 |
| Falcons | 23.8 | 23.6 | 21.7 | 24.8 | 27 | 21.8 |
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