Falcons vs. Saints Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4

Published 3:37 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024

At Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29, the Atlanta Falcons play the New Orleans Saints, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Saints should be victorious, according to our computer model — continue scrolling to find more tips regarding the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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The Falcons are totaling 307.3 yards per game on offense, which ranks them 20th in the NFL. Defensively, they rank 18th, allowing 326.7 yards per game. The Saints rank ninth with 343.3 total yards per game on offense, and they rank 21st with 335.3 total yards allowed per contest on defense.

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Falcons vs. Saints Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (+3) Over (41) Saints 22, Falcons 21

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Falcons Betting Info

  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Falcons’ implied win probability is 60.8%.
  • Atlanta has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
  • Atlanta and its opponent have not hit the over yet this season.
  • The average total for Falcons games this season (postseason included) has been 45.2, 4.2 points higher than the total for this game.

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Saints Betting Info

  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Saints have a 43.5% chance to win.
  • New Orleans has won two games against the spread this season.
  • The Saints have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
  • This year, games featuring New Orleans have gone over the point total twice.
  • The average total for Saints games is 46 points, five more than this game’s over/under.

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Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Falcons 16.3 20.3 13.5 20 22 21
Saints 34.3 14.7 29.5 12.5 44 19

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