The Atlanta Falcons will meet the Pittsburgh Steelers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Our computer model predicts that the Steelers will win — see below for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Falcons put up 18.9 points per game offensively last season (26th in NFL), and they gave up 21.9 points per game (18th) on the defensive side of the ball. The Steelers put up 304.3 yards per game on offense last season (25th in NFL), and they ranked 21st on the other side of the ball with 342.1 yards allowed per game.

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Falcons vs. Steelers Predictions and Picks

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have a 65.5% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Atlanta went 5-12-0 ATS last season.
• The Falcons covered the spread once last season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Atlanta and its opponent combined to go over the point total in seven of 17 contests last season.
• The over/under for this game is 41.5 points, 1.4 more than the average point total for Falcons games a year ago.

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Steelers Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Steelers, based on the moneyline, is 39.2%.
• Pittsburgh covered 10 times in 17 chances against the spread last year.
• The Steelers won each of their three games last season when playing as at least 3.5-point underdogs.
• Last season, six Pittsburgh games went over the point total.
• Games involving the Steelers last year averaged 38.8 points per game, a 2.7-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Falcons vs. Steelers 2023 Scoring Insights

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